2020-01-09 • Updated
The advance of gold (XAU/USD) this week has been too rapid. The precious metal got overbought. Both on the W1 and H4, the price highs weren’t confirmed by the highs of the Awesome Oscillator. In other words, there was bearish divergence. On the D1, a spike was formed and XAU/USD turned around to the downside and closed at the previous day low thus engulfing Tuesday’s and Monday’s candlesticks. It seems that there’s an interim top and that the correction might take the price further down.
A decline below 1,540 (50-period MA on H4) will open the way down to 1,528 (50% Fibonacci of the November-January advance). The next support will be at 1,509. The major resistance is located at 1,557. The return to this area may once again attract sellers. Only the advance above this point will let the price rise back to 1,577.
Trade idea:
SELL 1,538; TP1 1,528; TP2 1,510; SL 1,543
Gold prices rose on Monday as the US Dollar weakened amidst speculation about potential Federal Reserve rate cuts starting in June. This weakened Dollar was partly due to improved risk sentiment pushing US Treasury yields lower. Despite facing challenges from declining yields, gold prices recovered to nearly $2,170 per troy ounce, driven by the Dollar's weakness. Federal Reserve Chair...
Gold prices bounced back on Wednesday, reaching $2,173.60 after briefly dipping to $2,150.00. Traders speculate that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) might reduce borrowing costs, but a recent report showing higher-than-expected inflation in the US could delay such actions. Despite signs of a cooling labor market, the US economy remains robust, with inflation
Last week I gave a trade idea on XAUUSD with a target around the $2,020 price line. At the time of writing, XAUUSD already exceeded the target and I’m sure that would leave a lot of people wondering what to expect next. Below, I have presented my view of how I expect the price action to turn out in the meantime.
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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